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14.02.03, 21:42
Jaruzelski, the Soviet Union and the Descision to Introduce Martial Law in
Poland: New Light on the Mystery of December 1981
By Mark Kramer
ANDROPOV:
The Polish leaders are talking about military assistance from the fraternal
countries. However, we need to adhere firmly to our line—that our troops
will not be sent to Poland.
USTINOV:
In general one might say that it would be impossible to send our troops to
Poland. They, the Poles, are not ready to receive our troops.22
When Siwicki informed Jaruzelski about the disappointing results of the
meeting, the Polish leader complained that "the allies have forced us into an
impasse" and "left us on our own."31 He could not understand why "the
allies do not want to shoulder any of the responsibility even though they
have constantly asserted that the Polish problem is a problem for the whole
Warsaw Pact, not just for Poland." Jaruzelski added that he was "still
hoping for a miracle," but could sense that his "options [were] running
out."32 Implicit in all these comments was Jaruzelski's distinct lack of
confidence that martial law could be imposed without external military
support.
Even more intriguing, for an assessment of Jaruzelski's position in
late 1981, is the transcript of a Soviet Politburo meeting on 10 December,
barely two days before martial law was imposed. A number of the participants
in the meeting were dismayed that Jaruzelski was seeking—or at least they
believed he was seeking—a military guarantee.
Among those putting forth this view was Konstantin Rusakov, the CPSU
Secretary responsible for intra-bloc affairs, who had been keeping close
track of the situation from Moscow and was the main contact point in December
1981 for high-ranking Soviet officials in Poland who needed to convey
information to, or receive instructions from, the CPSU Politburo:
Jaruzelski intends to stay in close touch about this -matter [martial law]
with his allies. He says that if the Polish forces are unable to cope with
the resistance put up by "Solidarity," the Polish comrades hope to receive
assistance from other countries, up to and including the introduction of
armed forces on the territory of Poland.33
http://wwics.si.edu/index.cfm?fuseaction=library.document&topic_id=1409&id=62
Jaruzelski, the Soviet Union, and the Decision to Introduce Martial Law in
Poland: New Light on the Mystery of December 1981, by Mark Kramer
By Mark Kramer
Jaruzelski, the Soviet Union and the Descision to Introduce Martial Law in
Poland: New Light on the Mystery of December 1981
By Mark Kramer
The behavior of General Wojciech Jaruzelski during the Polish crisis of 1980-
81 remains a source of great controversy.
On the one hand, newly declassified documentation leaves no doubt
that the Soviet Union was exerting relentless pressure on Polish leaders in
1980-81.1 The Soviet authorities deployed many divisions of combat-ready
troops around Poland's borders and in the western USSR, conducted a long
series of conspicuous Warsaw Pact and bilateral military exercises, informed
Polish officials that elaborate plans had been drawn up for a Soviet-led
invasion, and made repeated, vehement exhortations through bilateral and
multilateral channels. These various actions may have caused Jaruzelski to
fear that the Soviet Army would invade Poland unless he imposed martial law.
Whether Soviet leaders actually intended to invade is a very different
matter. All the latest evidence suggests that by mid- to late 1981, Soviet
officials were extremely reluctant to consider sending troops into Poland.
Nevertheless, it is important to bear in mind that this new evidence,
persuasive though it seems in retrospect, was unavailable at the time. In
1980-81, Polish leaders were not privy to the internal deliberations of the
Soviet Politburo and could never be fully certain about Soviet intentions.
Hence, they may have genuinely believed that an invasion would occur if a
solution "from within" Poland (i.e., martial law) did not materialize.
Indeed, Soviet leaders themselves may have wanted to create that impression—
even if they did not intend to follow up on it—because they believed it would
induce the Polish authorities to take action.2 In that respect, the
declassified materials are compatible with Jaruzelski's claim that he
introduced martial law because he viewed it as a "tragic necessity" and
the "lesser of two evils."3
On the other hand, much of the new documentary evidence raises
serious doubts about Jaruzelski's veracity on this matter, and specifically
about his position in December 1981 during the lead-up to martial law. First-
hand accounts and newly released documents suggest that, by December 1981
(and perhaps earlier), Jaruzelski was reluctant to impose martial law without
external (i.e., Soviet) military assistance or at least a solid guarantee
that Soviet troops would move in if the martial law operation failed. The
documents also suggest that Soviet leaders by then were unwilling to provide
direct military support to Jaruzelski, telling him that it would
be "impossible" to bring Soviet troops into Poland and that he must instead
proceed with martial law on his own. Jaruzelski's failure to obtain Soviet
military assistance, as revealed in the latest evidence, nearly caused him to
postpone the whole operation in the hope that he would then be given a
concrete external assurance.
The notion that Jaruzelski was asking for Soviet military support in
December 1981 was first propounded in September 1992 by a retired Soviet
officer, Army-General Anatolii Gribkov. Gribkov had served for many years as
Chief of Staff and First Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Warsaw Pact. In
that capacity, he played a key role vis-a-vis Poland in 1980-81. Looking
back on the Polish crisis in 1992, Gribkov denied that Jaruzelski imposed
martial law to forestall a Soviet invasion. The Soviet general claimed that,
rather than trying to stave off Soviet military intervention, Jaruzelski did
just the opposite in December 1981 by repeatedly seeking a "guarantee of
military assistance [from the USSR] if the situation in Poland becomes
critical."4 The Soviet Politburo, according to Gribkov, promptly turned
down the Polish leader's requests, informing him that "Soviet troops will not
be sent to Poland." Gribkov noted that even after this decision was
conveyed, Jaruzelski pleaded with Soviet officials to reconsider and warned
them that "if military assistance is not offered, Poland will be lost to the
Warsaw Pact." Gribkov surmised that Jaruzelski's last-minute pleas for a
Soviet military guarantee must have reflected "the nervousness and diffidence
that the top Polish leaders were feeling about their ability to carry out the
plans for martial law."5
Gribkov's account appeared at the very time when Jaruzelski had been
gaining a favorable reputation in Poland, both among the public and even
among some of his former opponents such as Adam Michnik. Most Poles were
willing to accept Jaruzelski's claim that he reluctantly chose the "lesser of
two evils" in December 1981.6 Confronted by Gribkov's revelations,
Jaruzelski strenuously denied that he had ever requested a Soviet military
guarantee and argued that Gribkov himself had been an advocate of Soviet
military pressure and intervention in 1981.7 An acrimonious standoff
between the two men ensued.
Since that time, however, crucial evidence has emerged that seems to
bear out Gribkov's article and undercut Jaruzelski's denials. This evidence
includes Soviet Politburo transcripts, numerous first-hand accounts, and
secret records of meetings and conversations. Until recently,