Gość: Tomasz
IP: *.ibch.poznan.pl
06.12.02, 12:58
Why we are losing the war
In the wake of Mombasa, Foreign Affairs Editor Peter
Beaumont argues that the atrocities will continue until the
West finally grasps the fact that we are fighting a lethal
idea rather than a tangible enemy
Sunday December 1, 2002
The Observer
When the dust has settled and the blood and tears have dried,
we will be able to say one thing with certainty about last week's
terrorist attack in Kenya. Anyone who tells you the war against
terrorism is being won is lying.
It is the great heresy of free societies, so speak it softly, but the
accumulating evidence of the past four years is that terrorism
can - and does - work. And it is working on a global scale.
It is a simple fact that is more terrifying than any of attacks
themselves - 11 September included. That a tiny group of
extremists, for the most part using the most basic of
technologies, could effect such a startling paradigm shift that
has transformed the world we live in. But to what end? The
answer is more surprising than our political classes appear yet
to have grasped.
Strip away the millenarian agenda and its language of
apocalyptic struggle - the Great Satans, the enemies of God,
references to the Crusaders. Strip away, just for a moment, its
extreme religious aspects and what you are left with is a
non-negotiable political agenda. That aim is to remove - or
neutralise - American and Western influence from large areas of
the globe, including states that are not exclusively Islamist.
It is a tension that was in part foreseen by Benjamin Barber in
1992 in his essay 'Jihad versus McWorld', which predicted that
the greatest threat to democracy would be the clash between
the spread of a homogenising American culture - paradoxically
indifferent to what was happening in the world it touched on -
and a new kind of anti-political tribal politics which, he predicted,
would see 'the breakdown of civility in the name of identity; of
comity in the name of community'.
Barber thought that breakdown in civility would likely come from
the kind of gang warfare then beginning to grip the Balkans.
Instead, the real challenge to McWorld has been the unforeseen
emergence of an extremist version of radical Islam literally at
war with the West and all it stands for. For the time being at
least, it seems it is the terrorists who are winning.
It is a pessimistic outlook, but an easy case to make. Let's start
with the most obvious economic impact. The fear engendered by
a spate of attacks by Jihad International - al-Qaeda and groups
that share its agenda - is crippling the long-haul tourist industry,
threatening the West's airline industry and has almost shut
down tourism outside of the US. That cost is likely to amount to
billions of pounds in the long run, its impact being felt as keenly
in countries such as Indonesia and Kenya which are heavily
dependant on tourist dollars.
What is less quantifiable is what John Stevenson, senior fellow
in counter terrorism at the International Institute for Strategic
Studies describes as al-Qaeda's aim of 'neutralising' America
and the West's influence in large areas of the world. Already the
US and other countries have reduced embassies in vulnerable
areas of the world, like other nations - Britain included - closing
down missions at times of threat. But it is not just diplomats
who carry our message into the world. Business too is
supposed to fly the flag for our values. And as businesses
become more wary of operating in threatened areas, they too
will withdraw to safer areas of operation.
And in our withdrawal from exactly those places where the kind
of Islamist extremism we fear most is at its most threatening,
we give up the intellectual and psychological space to those
who most threaten our values. Because the real war with
al-Qaeda, as James Thomson, president of the Rand
Corporation think-tank, pointed out in the organisation's summer
review, is not simply one of missiles, snatch squads and bullets.
It is quintessentially one of ideas.
And it is in the war of ideas that we are most notably failing in
the war on terrorism. As Thomson's overview points out, even a
year after 9/11 America and its allies still have little idea of the
roots of the discontent that has made Jihad International so
attractive to so many young Islamist men, or the etiology of the
hatred of America.
Not only is the message not getting across, but there seems to
be a fundamental misunderstanding of where the real
sophistication of Jihad International comes from. It is not in its
ingenious and despicable skill in butchering innocent civilians, or
even in its apparently formidable organisational skills, which in
reality may be far less formidable than assumed, but in
syndicating and marketing its brand of terror. This is not the old
terrorism of the IRA or ETA, with structures, doctrines and