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Does bin Laden matter anymore?

02.03.02, 02:47
In the Pentagon corridors, the 'evil-doer' is no longer the focus - even if
most Americans think he's supposed to be.WASHINGTON - Try as he may, Defense
Secretary Donald Rumsfeld cannot seem to shake the dreaded "OBL" question -
even coming from his wife, Joyce.
"Every once in a while ... as I get up about 5 o'clock and get ready to take a
shower and head for the office, she says, 'Don, where is he?' " Mr. Rumsfeld
told a military gathering last week. "I tell her that if I want to bring up
Osama bin Laden, I'll wake her up and bring it up myself," he quipped.

Exactly 146 days after the US military launched its war on terrorism, the man
most wanted by President Bush as the "evil-doer" behind the Sept. 11 terrorist
attacks remains at large - a fact that the Pentagon is working hard to downplay.

Most Americans consider tracking down bin Laden as essential for the success of
the Afghanistan campaign, recent polls show.

Indeed, a November poll showed that 60 percent of Americans were willing to
risk large numbers of casualties among US troops in order to capture or kill
bin Laden.

Yet since the US-led siege at the Tora Bora cave complex in eastern Afghanistan
in December turned up no trace of the Al Qaeda terrorist leader, top Pentagon
officials have increasingly argued that - alive or dead - he is irrelevant.

"Everybody wants to know where Osama bin Laden is. The next question is, who
cares?" says one Defense Department official, reflecting an attitude widespread
in Pentagon corridors.

"Osama bin Laden as a center of gravity is gone," he says.

Indeed, a top US military official this week stated that finding the Saudi-born
militant is not even one of the top priorities of the US war on terrorism.

"I wouldn't call it [getting bin Laden] a prime mission," said Joint Chiefs of
Staff Chairman Gen. Richard Myers.

On one hand, the Pentagon's message is aimed at convincing Americans that the
fight against global terrorist organizations is about much more than pursuing
one man. Bringing bin Laden to justice - while important - would not allow
America to breathe easy, officials stress.

Al Qaeda can function without him

"He could walk in here tomorrow and Al Qaeda would go on functioning," says
Rumsfeld. If alive, bin Laden is busy hiding, cut off from his network and
unable to recruit, raise money, or run more terrorist operations, he says.

Instead, it is likely that any future Al Qaeda attacks will be pre-planned acts
carried out by some of bin Laden's lieutenants, along with the thousands of
trained terrorists at large in cells in dozens of countries around the world.

Gauging the war's success

At the same time, the Pentagon wants to persuade Americans that finding bin
Laden is a difficult job, and one that is not a good gauge of the success of
the military campaign on terrorism launched Oct. 7.

"Osama bin Laden is a poor measure of effectiveness," says one Defense official.

The United States military, Rumsfeld points out, is organized, equipped, and
trained to fight foreign armies - not to conduct manhunts.

While accepting the task of tracking bin Laden down as something US
forces "have to do," he admits that the military is still grappling for
strategies, "trying to figure out different ways of doing it."

As for the status of the search today, all the Pentagon can say with certainty
is that it has not received hard intelligence for some time indicating that bin
Laden is alive.

At least three top Pentagon officials - Rumsfeld, Deputy Defense Secretary Paul
Wolfowitz, and General Myers - have suggested in the past week that, if alive,
bin Laden is most likely either in Afghanistan or near the Afghan border in
Pakistan. "But that's very circumstantial evidence," Mr. Wolfowitz said.

Yet the Pentagon has also left open the possibility that bin Laden was among
the three suspected Al Qaeda members killed on Feb. 4 in a Hellfire missile
strike by a CIA-guided Predator drone, on a hillside in the vicinity of Zhawar
Kili in Afghanistan.

The DNA of those killed has been brought back to the United States for
examination and possible matching against DNA from bin Laden's relatives.

On Wednesday, Gen. Peter Pace, vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
said "it would surprise me if we hadn't" asked for DNA samples from bin Laden
family members.

The video, taken by the Predator drone, tracked a group of 15 or 20 people
apparently convening for a meeting, say Pentagon officials who watched the
footage.

Myers said the video showed clearly the size of the people, their actions, as
well as "deference paid," apparently to senior members of the group.

Rumsfeld said the group was moving among outcroppings of rocks and trees, and
appeared to be aware the Predator drone was in the vicinity.

Pentagon unsure

He dismissed as "ludicrous" reports from local Afghans that the people killed
by the missile were scrap-metal collectors.

Credit-card applications and airline schedules were found among the debris from
the strike, as well as ammunition, officials say.

Asked in a television interview on Sunday whether bin Laden might have been
among those killed, Rumsfeld replied "I just don't know."


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