bonobo44
29.03.06, 16:53
Wyniki niezależnych szwedzkich badań ogłoszone pod koniec 2004 roku
stwierdzają, że rak u ponad 800 ludzi w północnej Szwecji rozwinął się
najpewniej w wyniku opadu radioaktywnego po katastrofie elektrowni jądrowej w
Czarnobylu, jaka miała miejsce w 1986 roku. Wg ich określenia była to "jedyna
prawdopodobna przyczyna" takiego skoku zachorowań na tej granicy, po
wyeliminowaniu wszystkich innych możliwych przyczyn. (Można ją przypisać
statystycznie wyłącznie efektom Czarnobyla.)
A większość przypadków będących konsekwenncją tej katastrofy ujawni się
dopiero w ciągu kolejnych 30 lat.
<<Swedish scientists said the "Chernobyl effect" was the only likely
explanation for 849 cancer cases they came across.
More than 800 people in northern Sweden
may have developed cancer as a result of the fallout of the 1986
Chernobyl nuclear accident, a new study claims.
(...)
The study monitored cancer cases among more than 1.1 million people exposed
to radioactive fallout in northern Sweden between 1988 and 1996.
Martin Tondel, a researcher at Sweden's Linkoeping University who headed the
study, said that, of 22,400 cancer cases, 849 could be statistically
attributed to Chernobyl.
He said that, after other factors such as smoking, population density and age
had been taken into account, it seemed the only possible explanation.
"We've tried our best to explain it in other ways, but we can't," he told the
Associated Press. "So then you have to believe your data."
"With every statistical method we used to look at it, we see an increase (in
cases) across the board. That indicates that it's a Chernobyl effect," he
added.
(...) Leif Moberg(...) suggested it was a little early to have any definite
results, saying: "Most cancer cases don't develop until 20, 30 or 50 years
later."
His organisation has previously estimated that in 50 years, around 300 people
in Sweden would be affected by the Chernobyl fallout.
(...)
The disaster led to a dramatic rise in the number of cases of thyroid cancer,
leukaemia and birth defects, especially in Belarus.
About 6.7 million people are believed to have been exposed in what is the
world's worst nuclear disaster. >>
news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4028729.stm
