Swiatowy kryzys w lutym?

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Ameryka ma dlugi nie do splacenia.
Ostatnio USA TODAY podsumowala je tak:




* $84,454 -average household personal debt

Tyle jest winne przecietne gospodarstwo domowe


* $473,456 -YOUR share of America's unpaid Social Security and
Medicare promises

Nie zaplacone Medicare i Social security

* $53 TRILLION -Total federal, state, local, corporate, and personal
debt in the United States

53 TRYLIONY innych dlugow

That's right. America's total debt is nearly 400% larger than GDP. It's a
whole fictional economy of false prosperity. The more you look, the worse it
gets

* The U.S. government is operating with a $521 billion deficit
* The trade deficit (the difference between what we buy from
foreigners and what we sell to them) is clocking in at a record $600 billion
too!
* And Americans themselves are in credit card debt to the tune of $2
trillion - $6,788.68 for every man, woman and child in the country

Of course, this may sound like old news. Economists have been warning about
the mounting debt for years.

No to zapiac pasy i przygotowac sie na niezly zjazd!
Tylko ciekaw jestem jakie lekarstwo zaaplikuje swiatu czolowy intelektualista
amerykanski, niedawno ponownie wybrany prezydent George Debilju Bush.

To tak jak z przegrana Busha w listopadzie?

[kropekuk]

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Co maja dane ekonomiczne do spekulacji przedwyborczych?

Bo ty koles, spekulujesz od dawna. Ot co.

[Gość: lewaki.do.paki]

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Koles, ja jestem jak najdalej od lewactwa, ale lepiej wiedziec co jest za
rogiem niz chowac glowe w piasek. Dane ktore tu podalem sa autentyczne i
wszystko jedno czy sie z moimi przewidywaniami zgadzasz, czy nie, to taki jest
OBIEKTYWNY stan finansow w USA.

Mysle, ze podales prawdziwe dane. Ale dlugi moga

[kropekuk]

byc tez motorem zarobkowania; a w przypadku wielkich dluznikow martwia sie o
splate dlugow glownie ich wierzyciele...

W Polsce boom

[douglasmclloyd]

Czyli, No way to live:
www.dailyherald.com/
www.dailyherald.com/special/pathfrompolska/part3.asp

Miales na mysli ten artykul:

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

www.dailyherald.com/news_story.asp?intid=38302142
polityka Greenspana jest prosta, jak potrafi rante do 2 % ponad ranty
europejskie podnies, bez zahamowania ekonomi USA, to takze dollar zacznie rosc i
nikt nie powstrzyma Jebba Busha za 4 lata....

[douglasmclloyd]

Gość portalu: jarek-Zyd ne telus napisał(a):

> www.dailyherald.com/news_story.asp?intid=38302142
> polityka Greenspana jest prosta, jak potrafi rante do 2 % ponad ranty
> europejskie podnies, bez zahamowania ekonomi USA, to takze dollar zacznie rosc
> i
> nikt nie powstrzyma Jebba Busha za 4 lata....

"Reports from bureaucrats in Japan indicating that the economy there is once
again stumbling, coming on top of similar reports from bureaucrats in Europe,
aren't slowing down the rally here in the U.S."

Bo ten drugi artykul oni na pewno nie beda chcieli

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

przeczytac, moze tez wybalansowany z Australii tego chlopa w Polsce poinformuje
,ze w lutym sie koniec USA zapowiada.

[Gość: kolejny gość]

Przyznasz jednak, że to trochę inna sprawa. Luty nie luty. Ale gdyby np. w
ciągu roku nastąpił co najmniej tak poważny zamach jak 11 września, gdyby
giełda się załamała - wtedy to wszystko może stać się faktem. Oczywiście z taką
sytuacją nie poradziłby sobie ani Bush, ani Kerry, ani nikt. Ale być może kto
inny niż Bush szybciej poprowadziłby Amerykę w innym kierunku, niż nad przepaść.

[Gość: chala]

to u was sie walo wszystko. od poczatku panstwa polskiego. takich myslicieli
jak polaczki nie warto sluchac. co wyscie pozytywnego w tym swiecie zrobili?

[Gość: PP]

Nie robilismy tego, co wy robicie i to wystarczy zeby byc dumnym z faktu bycia
Polakiem,chalkie.
Sialom

Mnie Bush juz pozwolil 7% zarobic, czy mam

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

te pieniadze zwolenikom Kerrego wyslac.

W Paryzu jest dla takich jak Ty jeszcze duzo miejs

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

tam bezplatnie mozgi wylaczaja.

[Gość: mirex]

Gość portalu: jarek-Zyd ne telus napisał(a):

> tam bezplatnie mozgi wylaczaja.

jareczku? masz na mysli paryskiego rabina, gabriela farhi?

O rabinie brak danych. Oficjalnie tylko Arafatowy

[kropekuk]

encefalogram wychodzi zupelnie plaski.Ot taki: ________________________________

O rabinie brak danych.

[Gość: mirex]

nie martw sie, nic sie nie wyda :))))

Widac to ze twoj wodz mireczku w paryzu

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

o mozg walczy do ciebie jeszcze nie dotarlo.

[Gość: mirex]

ooo... o tym nie slyszalem, busz w paryzu? nie maja specjalistow zeby mu mozg
zoperowac w USA?

Juz sie twojego wodza SSArafata wypierasz, on

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

jeszcze nie umarl.

[Gość: mirex]

jareczku stary koniu! jak to jest ze jeszcze mnie nie przeprosiles za swoje
pomylki starcze?... a nowe mzonki snujesz?

)))))W Paryzu jest dla takich jak Ty jeszcze duzo

[wojo1111]

Gość portalu: jarek-Zyd ne telus napisał(a):

> tam bezplatnie mozgi wylaczaja.

ostatni zalapal sie na to arcy terrorysta i zlodziej arabski

[schlagbaum]

Gość portalu: zbalansowany napisał(a):

> Tylko ciekaw jestem jakie lekarstwo zaaplikuje swiatu czolowy intelektualista
> amerykanski, niedawno ponownie wybrany prezydent George Debilju Bush.
>

On bywal juz w trudnych sytuacjach i zawsze potrafil sie w nich wlasciwie
zachowac.
Mysle, ze z madra mina przeczyta dzieciom bajke.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

o kozce....

Budget Deficits May Force
Bush To Make Hard Choices
By Rupert Cornwell in Washington
The Independent - UK
11-5-4

America is a country living beyond its means. That simple truth places a giant
question mark on the radical agenda George Bush has set out for his second
term.

It features the part privatisation of social security, major changes in the US
tax code, and moves to make permanent the massive "temporary" tax cuts of his
first term. The only problem is that the US is in no position to pay for them.

The measure that would define the Bush domestic legacy would be an overhaul of
a social security system whose origins go back to Franklin Roosevelt. Mr Bush
wants to allow workers to invest part of the contribution that now goes to the
government into new tax-free accounts.This would cost the system between $1trn
and $2trn.

Few would argue there is a pressing need for an overhaul of the US tax system
which is grossly overcomplicated and riddled with special interest loopholes.A
simplification, however, would be part of Mr Bush's wider agenda of lowering
taxes for the well-paid. The President wants to move towards what critics say
is a more regressive system, shifting the tax burden from income to spending.

The third item on the agenda sounds innocuous enough - a removal of the "sunset
clauses" which have imposed theoretical time limits on some of the $2trn of tax
cutssince Mr Bush took office in 2001. This accounting device has enabled the
administration to claim that the federal budget deficit will decline later in
the decade. With this measure, that will no longer be possible. One way or
another, the federal budget deficit will increase, if nothing is done.

The US is saddled with a record budget deficit of $413bn (£223bn) and a trade
deficit running at $600bn (£326bn). On one thing the experts agree. This cannot
go on for ever.

The Bush administration has cut taxes but has boosted spending at the fastest
rate since Lyndon Johnson's "Great Society" era. The President has yet to veto
a single spending bill sent him by Congress.

Thus far he, and the US, have got away with it. A combination of surging
productivity, low commodity prices and cheap imports has kept inflation and
interest rates low. Taxes have been falling and, thanks to low interest rates,
debt has been cheap. As a result, the American consumer has kept spending. The
result has been a solid recovery from the 2000/2001 recession, and a
respectable growth rate of 3.5 per cent or more. But the recovery is financed
by borrowing, mostly from abroad, and the bills may be about to come in.
Productivity is slowing, the price of oil is soaring and other commodity prices
are also climbing.

The US gets away with both deficits thanks to the willingness of foreigners to
hold dollars despite low interest rates. The nightmare of the Federal Reserve
is that foreign investors and central banks will stop buying US stocks and
government securities.

If that happened - and there even are signs the process may have started - the
Fed would be forced to raise interest rates more quickly, pushing up the cost
of consumer borrowing and mortgages. The US property bubble might burst. Growth
would then stall, and unemployment would rise.

And there is an even deeper structural problem. In a few years, the first baby-
boomers will retire, placing a huge strain on pensions, welfare and the like -
paid out of social security.

If the the system is to stay solvent, even without privatisation, either taxes
must rise or benefits be cut. This is the sort of choice that Mr Bush or any
other politician hates to make.

©2004 Independent Digital (UK) Ltd. All rights reserved
news.independent.co.uk/
world/americas/story.jsp?story=579612

[Gość: Robak]

Ameryka miala duzo wieksze zadluzenie za czasow Reagana, potem sie zmniejszylo
za Clintona, obecne zadluzenie jest procentowo znacznie mniejsze niz za Reagana
(chyba 2-3 krotnie). Wez sobie prysznic z zimnej wody, zadnego kryzysu nie bylo
i nie bedzie. Caly swiat polega na ekonomii USA ....

[Gość: mirex]

Gość portalu: Robak napisał(a):

>zadnego kryzysu nie bylo i nie bedzie.
optymiz i wiara w swietlana przyszlosc nie uchronila CCCP przed upadkiem:)))
USA nastepne w kolejce

www.bergen.org/AAST/Projects/depression/problems.html
>Caly swiat polega na ekonomii USA ....
Caly swiat to dojna krowa dla USA ...

A szczegolnie USA doila Europe w latach 1943-54.

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

to dopiero bylo dojenie.

[Gość: mirex]

w latach 1943-54 us inwestowaly w europejska dojna krowe z mysla o przyszlych
dochodach:)))

jestes pewny co piszesz, bo nie mozna powiedziec ,

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

ze nam tutaj w Europie Zachodniej w latach 55-1990 zle powodzilo....w
przeciwienstwie do tej czesci Europy gdzie USA nie investowala, bo moze
przyszlych dochodow nie widziala.

A co do dojenia to mireczku jestes mistrzem.

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

[Gość: mirex]

jareczku zeby byc mistrzem dojenia trzeba miec penisa obrzezanego :))))

Bez podbitych butow- co za katastrofa.

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

[krystian71]

a jesli,jezeli taki kryzys nastapi i Stany chocby na jakis czas beda zmuszone odlaczyc was od kroplowki????

najpierw was odlacza i juz sa w biegu...

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

[krystian71]

Obys sie nie rozczarowal,my jestesmy przystosowani do takiego zycia
Raczej przez dziesiatki lat komuna zmuszala do "pomocy"bratnim krajom rozwijajacym sie.
Byla inna bieda,teraz jest inna bieda a zycie jakos sie toczy
Israel takiego experymentu by na pewno nie przezyl,juz teraz zapobiegawczo powinien szukac sobie przyjaciol w innych czesciach swiata,a nie programowo wszedzie robic wrogow,,,

Wiem wiem od 1400 lat napadcie na sasiadow i ich

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

grabicie- wesole jest zycie arabka.

[krystian71]

grasz w brydza? w takich sytuacjach mowie pas i odchodze od stolu

Coraz mniej zabawnie

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Spiraling Out of Control


The Mogambo Guru

-The dollar resumed its inexorable decline to its intrinsic worth, namely
zero. Foreigners decided either 1) that they like losing money, or, 2) have
so much invested already that what's another few billion here and there? So
they all popped another Prozac and resumed their buying of Treasury debt,
knowing full well that they will certainly lose money on it, too. (?

And speaking of the dollar, according to an article in the Nov. 1 issue of
the Wall Street Journal entitled "Fed Ponders Oil Price and Dollar", the
Federal Reserve thinks that "an abrupt run on the dollar and sudden jump in
interest rates" is a concern to "policy makers around the world," because
the American current-account gap is so wide, and getting even wider, which
means that we are pumping dollars by the $600-billion a year boatload out of
the United States, and into the hands of foreigners who probably do NOT have
our best interests at heart, which I surmise by the lackluster response I
get from my emails to them that plead, "Dear Foreign Sir or Madam, May I
please borrow some money?" and they respond, if they respond at all, with
what I assume are rude colloquialisms (e.g. "Go glagny yourself, you
blampherous glackney porgler.").

But ever the smiling optimists, "Though Fed officials believe such a crisis
is unlikely," they "appear to broadly agree the dollar will have to fall to
narrow the gap." Let me get this absolutely straight in my tiny little mind:
A crisis is only "unlikely"? Unlikely? How in the hell did we get to a place
(to which I cleverly allude by comically pointing to my watch and shouting
"Right here and now, you freaking bozo!" and hitting you over the head with
this funny-looking rubber chicken) where such a crisis is only "unlikely?"

The cashier at the supermarket was stunned when I whirled around and jumped
up on the conveyer belt, leaned over and said, "The whole damn problem is
that if the dollar goes down, then imports have to cost more! Things costing
more is called inflation! Or else those foreign devils will have to make
less! One or the other! And these foreign devils are all guys whose nasty
butts we have kicked in wars in the past, some of them numerous times! And
you can take it from me that they are still carrying grudges. The reason
that I bring this up is that I don't think that they are going to be too
keen on the idea of taking losses, in real terms, i.e. adjusted for
inflation, for years and years and years into the future so that we can
continue living beyond our means!"

Even the bozos at the Fed "appear to broadly agree the dollar will have to
fall to narrow the gap"! And filling a $600 billion per year gap is a HUGE
gap, and it would have to be filled with an equally large chunk of change!

And THAT is the part that is causing panic around here, mostly because the
Mogambo Inflation Alert System (MIAS) is springing into action at all hours
of the day and night, and it is unnerving to have sirens constantly blaring
and horns blaring and alarms blaring and everything just blaring blaring
blaring, and the loudspeaker is continuously advising the neighbors:
"Warning! Warning! The Mogambo Self-Defense System (MSDS) is now activated!
Do not leave your homes until further notice! Resistance is futile!" and now
they are all snippy to me about their alleged lack of sleep and the fall in
their property values and blah blah blah. I mean, I just can't win around
here! No matter how hard I try!

But then we read, "Officials stress that they aren't trying to influence the
dollar, a job they leave to the Treasury." So I have taken this to mean that
I can take my wife's car and drive it like a maniac around town, smashing
into mailboxes and across flowerbeds, ramming it into parked cars and
careening at those school-crossing guards with their stupid orange vests and
their stupid little whistles going, "Tweet tweet tweet!" Like it was MY job
to keep those little brats out of the street or something. And when my wife
goes out in the morning, takes a look at her beat-up car and screams, "What
in the hell have you done to my car, you horrid little jerk?" I can smugly
say, "Hey! I am not trying to influence the value of the car! That is the
Treasury's job. I mean, that's YOUR job!"

But it is not only the foreigners who are morons about buying U.S.
government debt, as the corporate bond arena also blasted to new highs,
driving yields to new lows. This may be partially explained by the banks
gobbling up $13 billion in "other securities" last week, which is the
catch-all category for things other than "U.S. government debt." Or it may
be that Doug Noland's analysis is correct in that "with performance
suffering, many bond mangers have unwound interest-rate hedges and, in the
process, supported bond prices and systemic Liquidity."

-Personal consumption exploded up another few notches to a new record of
$7.659 trillion, up a whopping $258 billion since this time last year, which
works out to almost $1,000 for every man, woman and child in America,
although MY personal consumption certainly did NOT increase by a thousand
dollars, and so that means that one of you greedy little people are getting
twice as much as me! Meanwhile, incomes are up 0.2%, while spending is up
0.6%!

-A Prudent Bear site Guest Commentary entitled "Oil demand - Why so strong?"
was written by Andrew McKillop, who is, so he says, "the founder of the
Asian Chapter, International Assoc. of Energy Economists and Former
Expert-Policy and programming, Divn A - Policy, DG XVII-Energy, European
Commission," and I am wondering how he got all of that on his business card.


But that is not important. What IS important is when he says "What counts
for the near-term and mid-term, the next 3 - 5 years, is that world oil
supply will almost inevitably trail world oil demand. That is, growth of
world supply after increasingly difficult and costly compensation for annual
depletion losses now running at about 1.25 - 1.5 Mbd, and set to increase,
will be unable to satisfy the essentially inelastic and accelerating growth
of demand. This will continue until and unless oil prices rise well above 75
USD/bbl, or an intense, worldwide economic recession is triggered through
indiscriminate use of the 'interest rate weapon' in the OECD."

Well, I am here to tell you and this Mr. McKillop that anytime supply trails
demand, the price will go up. Whether or not the $75 per barrel is the price
where the world's economic system gags on the price, I dunno. Sounds about
right, though, I guess.

"Targets for oil saving will likely have to be at 5% or more reduction of
oil demand per year. In the United States, we can note, current oil demand
growth trends, and declining domestic oil production, result in oil import
demand growing at about 5% - 6%/year. Oil saving programs would therefore
need to target annual reductions in oil demand well above 5%." Americans cut
demand? Hahahaha! Hey, moron! We're Americans! We consume as much as we
want, of everything we want! We're Americans! That's what we do! And if
prices get too high, the government will give us money!

But the price of oil declined to less than $50 a barrel Monday, and that was
the inspiration for one of the most stupid things I have ever seen on the
Bloomberg.com site, and I am going to quote it verbatim: "Crude oil futures
fell below $50 a barrel in New York for the first time since Oct. 5 on
speculation that growth in demand will ease as supplies increase." Hahahaha!
Demand stops growing as supply increases? Hahahaha! Stop it! My sides are
hurting from this laughing! Hahahaha!

The Mogambo turned his face to the camera. Audience's worldwide laugh in
delight to see the look of perplexed exasperation on my comically expressive
face. "Supply more of something and the demand goes DOW

[Gość: Bank-Rut]

Bank -Rut-kovski przejmie USA i uratuje ich od plajty.
moze zydzi pozycza USA pieniadze , wezma USA w zastaw.

[Gość: koala]

Poczytaj zbalansowany lbie o sytuacji finansowej australijskiego spoleczenstwa,
tylko nie przewroc sie. Biorac pod uwage o polowe mniejsze zarobki jak w USA, to
wg twoich wrozen z fusow kazdy w Australii juz dawno powinien strzelic sobie w
leb. Wnioskow nie probuj wyciagac, gdyz caly swiat zawali sie tobie na pusta
lepetyne.
www.nzherald.co.nz/storydisplay.cfm?storyid=3584434
Australian debt soars with property boom and easy credit

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Koale to bardzo mile zwierzeta, ale widac i wsrod nich znajduja sie wyjatki.

A wracajac do tematu.
Nigdzie nie pisalem ze sytuacja w Australii jest duzo lepsza niz w USA.
Sytuacja jest inna gdyz w duzo wiekszym stopniu ekonomia tego kraju polega na
tym co jest w ziemi, co mozna wykopac i sprzedac. Poza tym zalamanie sie
tutejszej gospodarki byloby wydarzeniem w skali lokalnej, krach w Ameryce
dotknie caly swiat. Przy obecnej polityce FEDu jest to tylko kwestia czasu, a
czy stanie sie to w lutym, marcu, czy za piec lat to oczywiscie jest wrozenie z
fusow.

[Gość: koala]

Porownaj jeszcze wiecej, skoro sam nie potrafisz wyciagnac wnioskow.

www.theaustralian.news.com.au/printpage/0,5942,11155936,00.html
The Australian: Greenspan happy with debt, but we've got more to worry about [
23oct04 ]

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Koala spadl z eukaliptusa
Na wysokosci 30 metrow zamruczal:

Jak to dobrze ze to jeszcze tak daleko.


Aluzju ponial?

[Gość: koala]

Do przewidzenia bylo, ze niczego nie zrozumiesz. Uzmyslow wiec sobie, ze
najwieksze zadluzenie w stosunku do GDP ma Japonia i pomimo slabszych indeksow
gospodarczych od gospodarki USA jest daleka od zawalenia sie. Jak padnie
gospodarka Australii, wtedy bedziesz mogl kwiczec, ze za lat dwadziescia moze to
samo przytrafic sie w Ameryce. Nie krec wiec jakimis artykulikami, ze w USA jest
fikcyjna ekonomia z falszywym dobrobytem (jaki wiec ten"dobrobyt jest w
Australii? Widac, ze jestes nim sfrustrowany). Porownaj sobie kazdy wysoko
uprzemyslowiony kraj a przekonasz sie , ze gospodarka USA jest najzdrowsza ze
wszystkich.

Alez oczywiscie ze nie ma problemu.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Powinienes byl sie nazwac strus a nie koala, gdyz to te ptaki wsadzaja glowe w
piasek aby nie widziec rzeczywistosci.

Przeczytaj jeszcze raz pierwszy post, a potem probke DZISIEJSZEJ prasy.

I moze jednak to ty nie wszystko rozumiesz.


US Silent As Euro
Screams Higher
11-9-4

WASHINGTON (AFP) - US President George W. Bush's administration was
conspicuously silent even as Europe agonizes over the plummeting dollar, a
policy analysts described as "benign neglect."

"Euroland policymakers are sounding the alarm bells," said Merrill Lynch chief
North American economist David Rosenberg, as the euro hit a record high 1.2987
dollars in early trading.

The dollar had plunged 36 percent from the high of four years ago, and was
dropping "like a stone" since the Bush's re-election, which stoked worries
about the US trade and budget deficit, Rosenberg said.

"This probably would have happened no matter who won but in the case of a Bush
regime what is on the market's mind is the implications for the fiscal and
current account deficit from all the measures that are being proposed since
proposals like making tax cuts permanent alone will add nearly one trillion
dollars to federal debt over the next 10 years," Rosenberg said.

Planned changes to the minimum tax rate would cost another 500 billion dollars,
he estimated.

And overhaul of social security could add another two trillion dollars to the
debt.

"So how the deficit ever comes down without some sharp spending cuts in other
areas is a near impossibility, especially considering that this president was
the first in 175 years that didn't veto one spending bill," Rosenberg said.

"And the foreign exchange markets are pricing this in early

[Gość: koala]

Wysokie euro juz wykancza europejska gospodarke. Jeszcze troche a bedzie
interweniowal Europejski Bank Cenralny, zeby gospodarka Unii nie zostala
przygwozdzona na conajmniej dwie dekady jezeli niski kurs dolara utrzyma sie
jeszcze przez nastepny rok lub dwa.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Niski kurs dolara = wiecej pieniedzy za towary importowane
Wyzsze ceny = inflacja
Inflacja = wyzsze stopy procentowe
Wyzsze stopy procentowe = recesja

[Gość: koala]

Ty nadal nic nie rozumiesz. Niski kurs dolara to problem dla strefy euro a nie
dla Ameryki. Doksztalc sie dlaczego w dzisiejszym okresie oplacalne jest dla
amerykanskiej gospodarki utrzymywac niski kurs swojej waluty.

I obywatele na tym bardzo placza bo wszyscy

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

na wakacje do Europy sie wybieraja, jak tam wyszlo kwotowanie ropy w Euro.

Po pasie od stolu w bridzu sie nioe odchodzi

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

ale moze w arabskim tak sie robi.

Ta FORSA poszła na budowę Izraela

[Gość: assa]

Około 200 zydów w Kongresie USA i 45 zydowskich senatorów w Senacie USA co są
skupieni w kolaicji NACISKU POLITYCZNEGO "Pro-Israel PAC" (PAC - Political
Action Committee) toczyli batalię polityczna, aby Kongres i Senat USA
zatwierdził BEZWROTNA DONACJĘ (czytaj: prezent) w wysokiści:

$2.58 mialrda na wzmoecnienie ekonomi Izraela
$2.22 milarda na dofinasowanie sił militarnych Izraela
$360 million in economic assistance na budowe MURU HAŃBY Izraela.

Jest to tylko FORSA z agencji rzadowej tzw. USAID, a do Izraela płynie cała
rzeka forsy amerykanskiego podatnika z innych źródeł która wynosi ok. 25-30
milardów dolarów rocznie.

Czy wyobrażacie sobie, jak by sie w Polsce się żyło, gdyby ROK w ROK Polska
dostawała tekie BEZWROTNE DONACJE jak Izrael od USA ?

Szczegóły tej akcji politycznej w tej sprawie "Pro-Israel PAC" oraz
żydowskiego Lobby w USA zobaczcie tutaj:

www.aipac.org/Action1.cfm
Kto i ile daje w SZMAL czyli tzw. "donacje" na funkcjonowanie "Pro-Israel
PAC" z kongresu i senatu USA to PRZEKOPIUJ i zobacz tutaj:

www.wrmea.com/archives/May_2004/0405026b.html

Są to informacje 100% , gdyż sumy DONACJI na na działalność organizacji
politycznych wpłacanych przez osoby, które są na stanowiskach WYBIERALNYCH
w administracji państwowej USA zgodnie z prawem USA, muszą być podawane do
wiadomości PUBLICZNEJ i NIE są tajemnicą.

Suma DONACJI na "Pro-Israel PAC" zebrana przez OBECNYCH kongresmenów i
senatorów USA tylko w 2004 roku wynosiła: $1,447,172 czyli prawie 1,5 milona
dolarów.

Senatorem który ZAWETOWAŁ projekt ustawy w październiku 2004 roku o
ZNIESIENIU wiz dla Polaków był to senator z Harry Reid z Newady, który
jest oczywiscie BARDZO AKTYWNYM członkiem Pro-Israel PAC (PAC - Political
Action Committee) w USA.

W tym roku tzn. 2004 r. Senator Harry Reid wpłacił SWOJĄ DOBROWALNĄ DONACJĘ
na Pro-Israel PAC w wysokości $47,999 czyli prawie 48 tysiecy dolarów.

Senator Harry Reid z Newady bedąc senatorem włacił SWOJE DOBROWALNE
DONACJE na całkowitą sumę $301,801 czyli sumę prawie 302 tysiecy dolarów.

I jeszcze pojdzie,a biednym Arabom jak zwykle

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

skorka( z pe...sa)

ASSA ALE TY MĄDRY JESTEŚ

[Gość: Hr Koniec polski]

kilka miliardów dolarów darowane Izraelowi spowodowało to całe zadłuzenie?
Śmiechu warte.
A jak juz piszesz o dofinasowywaniu Izraela wspomnij tez o tym, że rząd USA
podobne sumy przeznacza co roku dla Egiptu, Arabii saudyjskiej, ZEA i jeszcze
kilku innych państw, które z Żydami mają niewiele wspólnego. Tylko Polska jakoś
niewiele "zielonych" dostaje. Dlatego zamiast psiczyć na Żydów, może warto
samemu zacząć budować swoje lobby? Ale po co, przeciez psioczyć jest prościej.

[Gość: PP]

Wczoraj sluchalem poczatku wystapienia of wannabe ze us president - hillary. Na
samym poczatku zlozyla pledge of allegiance to I-sra.
Pstryk....

Tu jest wlasnie pies pogrzebany.

Normmalnie za darmo nie odpowiadam,

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

a poniewaz moj szef cie do tych zaliczyl, ktorym mozg wysechl, albo udal slona
dostali( co w australii bardzo latwo jest) i mnie za wklady i dyskusje z toba
nie placi a poniewaz za darmo nie chce sie wysilac ale jednak ci odpowie bo cos
takich furmanki pelnej bzdur juz dawno nie widzialem:
1. Reserve firm USA w cash sa okolo 400 mld $ co pozwoli im nawet bez gieldy sie
finansowac,
2. Spozycie wewnetrze ktore po 11/9 drastycznie spadlo znow osiagnelo maksymalny
poziom wyzszy niz w roku 1999
3. Dwie gieldy Nyse i Nasdaq odzyskaly zaufanie investytorow dziekuja reforma
przeprowadzonym za perzydenta Busha.
4. Deficyt administracji publicznej wynosi 3.6 % PNB i spadnie dziekujac silnemu
zwrostu gospodarczemu do 3% w polowie przszlego roku czego o leonach
europejskich nie mozna powiedziec.
5. Niska cena dollara pozwoli im expoertowac-moze mnie w Europie samochod
znajdziesz ,ktory 6 tys dollarow kosztuje i jest do norm przystosowany.
6. Nie maja prawie zadnego opodatkowania paliw, w Europie juz nie mozna paliwa
wiecej opodatkowac..
itd.
7.Silna kontrol nad imigracja musulmanska, co im pozwoli duzo problemow uniknac.

Przecietny debit na rodzine pozwala im prawie wszystkim niezle mieszkac i tez
swaidczy ze ktos za tym debitem stoi, czego by7 bardzo duzo Polakow chcialo aby
sobie nwe mieszkanie kupic. Zaden Bank ci nic nie pozyczy jak ty nie masz
mozliwosci pozyczke splaci.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

No coz, widze ze moge byc o przyszlosc spokojny.

troche pesymistychny link

[kyle_broflovski]

www.larouchepac.com/index.html

Swiatowy kryzys w lutym?dopiero w lutym??

[bam_buko]

Ciekawy jestem dlaczego akurat w tym miesiacu??Pod koniec stycznia wybieram sie
do Australii na dluzszy pobyt wiec moze uda sie umknac przed... hehe

Zycze Ci abys zbalansowal swoj mozg do lutego.

[Gość: Gerard]

Z dobrego serca. Reszta twoich wypocin to bzdurne laczenie polprawd, falszywych
zalozen, falszu i wrecz bezwstydnego klamstwa. Nie zasluguje to w ogole na
odpowiedz ze strony ekonomisty. Poniewaz jednak straszysz ludzi to powiem Ci
tak:
- powtarzasz wczesniejsze bzdury sprzed kilku miesiecy.
- USA Today jest tak uznanym pismem ekonomicznym jak Lichtenstein mocarstwem
- mylisz system metryczny z amerykanskim.
- zakladasz, ze nagle nastapilo zablokowanie wplat do Social Security
- dlug (liabilities -winien) sa tylko kategoria ekonomiczna istniejaca razem z
posiadaniem (assets - ma))> Roznica miedzy nimi tworzy wartosc netto (net worth)
Wartosc przecietnego gospodarstwa domowego w USA wynosi 58 tys dolarow.
Calosc dlugu w skali kraju ma tak samo male znaczenie jak i w skali jednostki.
Wartosc bowiem ziemi, budynkow, fabryk, maszyn itd. przekracza siedmiokrotnie
dlug. Bzdura jest wiec liczenie dlugu bez podania wartosci.
Twoj wywod jest absolutnie niezgodny z jakimkolwiek systemem ksiegowania w USA.
Jest typowym straszeniem
Ja moge powiedziec tylko tak. Ani w lutym ani w zadnym roku nie bedzie zadnej
katastrofy finansowej w USA. Beda typowe dla gospodarki wolnorynkowej kryzysy i
przyspieszenia ale to tyle.
Nikogo tez nie chce przekonywac ani od nikogo nie wymagam zrozumienia.
Dokladnie mi na tym nie zalezy. Ja robie dobre decyzje finansowe i jestem
absolutnie zadowolony z mojego stanu posiadania. Jesli ktos chce
wierzyc 'zbalansowanemu' niech sobie od razu strzeli w leb. Bedzie wiecej
miejsca dla optymistow.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Niepotrzebnie sie tak denerwujesz kolego. chcesz byc optymista, badz, jest
jeszcze paru takich.

napisales:


"falszywych>
> zalozen, falszu i wrecz bezwstydnego klamstwa"

Jezeli mowisz A, to powiedz i B - gdzies ty sie doszukal tego "bezwstydnego
klamstwa"?

Napisales:

- dlug (liabilities -winien) sa tylko kategoria ekonomiczna istniejaca razem z
> posiadaniem (assets - ma))> Roznica miedzy nimi tworzy wartosc netto (net w
> orth)

A zgadza sie zgadza!
Tylko jezeli dzis masz $100,000 dlugu w banku, to jutro tez bedziesz mial
$100,000 plus odsetki ktore bedziesz musial zaplacic. I nastepnego dnia jest to
samo. Natomiast dom ktory kupiles za te $100,000 za miesiac moze byc wart 100,
moze byc wart 120, a moze byc wart (gdyby przyszedl kryzys) tylko 75 tysiecy.
Dlatego dlug (jako liczba) jest zawsze znany, natomiast wartosc tego do czego
sie on odnosi jest czysta spekulacja. Jezeli na dzisiaj mozesz powiedziec ze
twoje net worth ma z przodu znak dodatni, to nagle moze sie okazac ze za
miesiac bedzie to -.
Wiem ze czytasz niezbyt uwaznie, wiec plus, czy minus moze byc dla ciebie
obojetny (tak jak nie zauwazyles znaku zapytania w moim poscie, co z hipotezy
zrobilo pewnik), na ale to juz twoj problem.

I dlaczego ci ludzie bzdury wypisuja

[Gość: zbalansowany]

skoro jest tak swietnie Gerardzie????

slate.msn.com/id/2109203/

a ja podaje falszywe informacje

[Gość: zbalansowany]

www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdpdodt.htm

Ameryka ma TYLKO taki dlug Gerardzie, wiec naprawde nie ma sie czym przejmowac.

$7,429,736,227,186.31

A odsetki od tego dlugu

[Gość: zbalansowany]

wyniosa w tym roku TYLKO $ 13,735,391,456.62 wiec swiat moze spac spokojnie





www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdint.htm

To nie straszenie to jego mentalnosc, ktora w

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

komunizmie korzenie ma:
jak nie moge sobie pozwolic sam Mercedesa kupic, bo do niczego nie jestem
zdolny, to podpale Mercedes mojego sasiada, bo w jego kieszeni pieniadze liczac
i bedac pewny,ze on sobie na jezdzenie Mercedesem nie moze pozwolic i ten
Mercedes podpalajac, mojego sasiada przed ruina uratuje.

A w Marcu zacznie pisac, ze krysys w Lipcu.

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

Czyzby to nie on co powidzial wielkie zwycienstwo Kerrego, albo sie tego teraz
wyprze.

zwyciestwo Kerrego?

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Przypuszczalem rzeczywiscie ze Kerry wygra (nie wiem czy o tym pisalem), ale z
pewnych wzgledow wole ze Bush wygral, chociaz juz nie moge patrzec na jego pysk.

Tak napewno o tym nie pisales....tak moze w marcu

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

nam opowiesz ,ze nie pisales o krysie w lutym---moze jednak zrobisz nam
przyjemnosc......

Co ty chcesz udowodnic?

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Ze zawyzylem IQ amerykanow, gdyz przypuszczalem ze Kerry zwyciezy ?

Raczej twoja inteligencje zawyzyles.....200 %

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

Wroce za 12 godzin....czasami musze tez pracowac.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Gość portalu: jarek-Zyd ne telus napisał(a):

> Wroce za 12 godzin....czasami musze tez pracowac.


Tylko znowu nie zapomnij zabrac lopaty i taczek.

juz je zaladowalem.....

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

A dzisiaj naoliwilem lopate, bede l& & #35; 242;epiej pod

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

gklupkami islamistami dolki kopal...powietrze w gomie taczek tez podwyzszylem,
bede mogl wiecej islamskiego gowna na runde wywiesc.

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

pod islamskimi glupkami doly kopal.......

Greenspan ma dzisiaj klopot

[schlagbaum]

Co by nie zrobil- zrobi zle
Taki pech.

Czy Centralny bank Azji tym razem pomoze jak juz w 2003 roku ?
Watpliwe gdy dolar leci na pysk a lot potrwa jeszce dluzej.

Odpada farba i zaczyna byc widac gline.
Do tego widoku nalezy sie zaczac przyzwyczajac.

Niech zyje stary i nowy prezes tego kurnika.



Amerykanie zyja ponad stan.
Konsumuja wiecej niz produkuja. Importuja wiecej niz eksportuja.
Ten od lat trwajacy proces zaczyna sie mscic.
Roznica pomiedzy importem a eksportem osiagnie w tym roku rekordowa wielkosc
600 mld. Dolarow.
Jest to 5,7% produktu narodowego brutto.
Studium amerykanskie banku inwestycyjnego Goldman Sachs uwydatnilo ogrom tego
deficytu podajac, ze jego wyrownanie pochloneloby 40% swiatowych oszczednosci
netto.

USA nie sa w stanie samodzielnie tej dziury zalatac.
Ciagle musi do USA naplywac obcy kapital by moc ten gigantyczny deficyt
finansowac.
Naplyw ten jednak slabnie.
Stosunkowo drogie akcje i niskie dywidendy odstraszaja akcjonariuszy.

Die Amerikaner leben über ihre Verhältnisse. Sie verbrauchen mehr, als sie
produzieren. Sie importieren mehr, als sie exportieren. Eine seit Jahren
auseinander klaffende Entwicklung, die sich jetzt zu rächen beginnt. Dieses
Leistungsbilanzdefizit, also die Schere zwischen Importen und Exporten, wird in
diesem Jahr auf ein Rekordniveau von 600 Milliarden Dollar steigen. Das sind
5,7 Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts. Eine Studie der US-Investmentbank
Goldman Sachs verdeutlicht die immense Größenordnung: Das Ausgleichen des
Defizits würde rund 40 Prozent der weltweiten Netto-Ersparnisse auffressen.
Die Vereinigten Staaten allein sind nicht mehr in der Lage, dieses Loch zu
stopfen. Ständig muss ausländisches Kapital in die USA fließen, um das
gigantische Defizit noch finanzieren zu können. Doch der Zustrom ausländischen
Kapitals schwächt sich immer weiter ab. Die vergleichsweise teuren Aktien und
niedrigen Anleiherenditen in den USA verschrecken die Anleger.

www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,1564,1390508,00.html

I pomysl kto to pisze, ten co odbudowal "DDR" na

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

joszt calej Europy...

[schlagbaum]

Gość portalu: jarek-Zyd ne telus napisał(a):

> joszt calej Europy...


???????????

Koszt calej Europy

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

Po rozmowie z allahem bym polecil zaczac

[yassir_arafat.ss]

myslec dollary kupowac....choc moj zyjacy jeszcze przyjaciel i kolega , demokrat
na Kubie cos innego mysli.

Moze lepiej do poczatku stycznia poczekac.

[jarek-jude]

zbalansowany Nostradamus? Zbyt glupie do dyskusji

[Gość: igor]

[Gość: niezbalansowany]

do zbalansowanego
Ja tylko dodam pare moich spostrzezen.
Bardzo latwym sposobem usuniecia tych dlugow, zobowiazan(social security) itd,
jest drukowanie dolarow przez usa.Oczywiscie prowadzi to do inflancji; ubozenia
spoleczenstwa. Bogatych to nie obchodzi, zrobili sobie jeszcze ciecia podatkowe.
Elity rzadowe i wielkie koncerny sa tez zabezpieczone, gdyz dysponuja wielkimi
zasobami ropy naftowej.(irackie zloza - bodajze drugie co do wielkosci na
swiecie). Wiadomo, ze to usa bedzie sobie ustalac cene na rope i trzymac caly
swiat za morde.
Wiec o usa jako takie, to bym sie nie martwil.
Co innego zwykli obywatele usa czy ci co udzielali amerykanom pozyczek.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Zgadzam sie ze problem lezy w dolarze i niezaplaconych rachunkach -
konsekwentnie skoro dlugow splacic sie nie da atak pojdzie na dolara i na
obnizenie jego wartosci. Z takich historii najzdrowsi beda ci ktorzy sa "asset
rich" i nie maja zbyt wielkich dlugow, bo ze tam bedzie zdrowe zamieszanie i
manipulacje stopami procentowymi to pewne.

I jeszcze latwiej, podwyzszajac stope procentowa,

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

sprzedac te papierki ( za towary i uslugi) wszystkim tym ,ktorzy na wzroscie
wartosci dollaru beda chcieli zarobic,
A co do zwyklych obywateli USA i nawet tych co tam z pewnych krajow przyjechali
i pracuja , powodzi sie im duzo lepiej, niz w krajach, ktore budzet w porzadku maja.
Wez tylko pod uwage, przecietna kubature zamieszkania na jednego USA mieszkanca,
tylko Norvegia jest lepiej postawiona.

sam spamujesz swoje pierdulki kretynku ?

[_jacek71_]

Pozyjemy, zobaczymy

[Gość: zbalansowany]

McTeer Says U.S. Trade Imbalance May Cause the U.S. Dollar to Fall Rapidly

Oct. 7 (Bloomberg)

[Gość: zbalansowany]

www.rense.com/general59/233.htm

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Nov. 15 (Bloomberg)

Widze ze boisz sie nie dozyc....

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

[Gość: ciekawski]

Dlaczego w lutym?

[Gość: dziadek mroz]

Bo najzimniej. zimno to kryzys. A kryzys to i zimno. Dolar leci w dol jak
kamien mlynski.
-|{} Achtung achtung, sprzedaj dzis dolary z materaca bo jutro beda
bezwartosciowe.

Albo lepiej zacznij dollar powolimkupowac ,bo jak

[Gość: kantorowiec]

od lutego zacznie rosc, ty dziadku sie roztopisz.

A czy nam to Zydom zaskodzi.

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

Bo choc dochod na jednego mieszkanca Israela w ostatnich 3 latach z 18.500 $ na
16.700 $ spadl( niestety te nasze araby sie jak szczury rozmnazaja, ale po
podarowaniu im Cisjordani, z radoscia sie ich pozbedziemy) to nasz eksport do
Indii w tym roku 1560 mil dollarow osiagnie ( okolo 54 % wiecej niz w zeszlym
roku) nasz eksport do Chin kommunistycznych 1300 mil dollarow osiagnie ( okolo
27 % wiecej niz w zeszlym roku),Intel juz w tym roku okolo 3 000 mil investycje
osiagnal a nasza flota kupiecka sie o statki o wartosci 732 mil $ powiekszy i to
wszystko dla Allaha nie chwaly. przyszlosc to jak CEP mowi Chiny i India i my to
juz przed nim zrozumielismy.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

W przeciwienstwie do $, Szakal ma sie dobrze, moze wreszcie zaczniecie cos
niecos oddawac Stanom, no ratujcie dobroczynce ktory was od lat utrzymuje i
papu na stol daje!




Analysis / Why so low, Oh mighty dollar?

By Nehemia Strasler



The dollar hit a 10-month low yesterday, trading at NIS 4.384. Although the
dollar has steadily slid for six months, the 0.66 percent falloff yesterday was
steep nonetheless. What concerns most to all who still hold the greenback is
how low will it go? Is this the end of the slide?




As always, we never hear from the home buyers and renters when the dollar is
down. They keep quiet and count their profits. The wider public can also look
forward to less expensive vacations in the United States and cheaper American
car imports. The merchants drag their feet, though; when it comes to prices,
they only rush to keep up with rising dollars.

Who isn't smiling these days? A strong shekel is bad news for exporters. High-
tech manufacturers highly dependent on American markets are sure to suffer and
since Israel's growth is based on this sector, the dollar's position could
stunt growth. Throw in the Central Bureau of Statistics report yesterday on a
slowdown in growth and a decline in industrial exports and the economic horizon
is no longer so rosy.

Back on the bright side, inflation is sure to stay low, as so many prices are
still dollar-linked, such as housing.

But why the apparent worldwide woes for the dollar?

In fact, its global devaluation is the deed of the Americans themselves, who
found an original way to raise their own standard of living at the expense of
the rest of the world. They don't even consider cutting back but rather consume
as if there were no tomorrow. The stores are full and the public celebrates.
The American government is also wasting money and exceeding its budget.

The Bush administration has distinguished itself in huge budget deficits. Bush
may have lowered taxes but he didn't cut expenses. The war in Iraq alone cost
$150 billion so far. The results are a $420 billion deficit, 3.7 percent of
gross domestic product, and a frightening $600 billion debt in its balance of
payments.

In contrast, Israel has no balance of payments debt at all and it's much better
off than the U.S. With stability giving a sense of control over the budget, the
public is not running to buy dollars, leaving a strong shekel.

The meaning of the two massive debts is the enormous imbalance in the markets.
The solution is: 1) raising U.S. public savings; 2) narrowing the budget
deficit; 3) a significant devaluation of the dollar. The first two suggestions
elicit objections in the public and the administration. The market takes care
of the third. Everyone knows the dollar must weaken to allow exporters to get
dollars for their euros and make importers pay more for their products. Only
then will America begin closing its balance of payments gap.

US dolar to zabawna waluta.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

November 16, 2004

The Coming Currency Shock
Declining Superpower Act
By PAUL CRAIG ROBERTS

China's currency peg to the US dollar prevents correction of the US trade
imbalace and imperils the US dollar's role as reserve currency.

In the post World War II period, the dollar took over the reserve currency role
from the British pound, because the supremacy of US manufacturing guaranteed US
trade surpluses. The British pound lost its role due to debts of two world
wars, loss of empire, a run down industrial base, and socialist attack on UK
business.

The reserve currency conveys unique advantages on the favored country. As the
reserve currency, the US dollar is guaranteed a high level of demand. Foreign
central banks hold their reserves in dollars, and countries are billed in
dollars for their oil imports, which requires other countries to buy dollars
with their currencies.

As a reserve currency fulfills world needs in addition to the functions of a
domestic currency, the favored country can hemorrhage debt for a protracted
period on a scale that would promptly wreck any other country's currency.

This advantage is a two-edged sword, because it permits the reserve country to
behave irresponsibly by running large trade and budget deficits. When the tide
turns against the reserve currency, its exchange value collapses.

The reason for the collapse is the huge stock of reserve currency held by
foreigners. When other countries conclude that their hoards of dollars
represent claims that the US cannot meet, dollar dumping begins. Financing for
US debt dries up; interest rates rise; imported goods become unaffordable and
living standards fall.

Flight from the dollar is already underway. During the past two years, the US
dollar has declined 52% against the new European currency, the Euro. This
decline is striking in view of the sluggish European economy and the fact that
many analysts regard the Euro as merely a political currency.

Indeed, the dollar is declining against all currencies that have any
international standing: the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Australian
dollar, and even against the Japanese yen despite Tokyo's intervention to
support the dollar.

Overcome by hubris and superpower delusion, US policymakers are unaware of
America's peril. Economists and pundits are equally in the dark.

Economists believe that decline in the dollar's exchange value will correct the
US trade deficit by reducing imports and increasing exports. Once upon a time a
case could be argued for this logic. But that was a time before US corporations
took to outsourcing jobs and locating production for US markets offshore.

US imports of goods and services rise each time a US factory moves offshore or
a US job is outsourced. Goods and services produced offshore by US corporations
for US customers count as imports and worsen the trade deficit. The US cannot
reduce its trade deficit by increasing sales to China of goods made by US firms
in China. As Charles McMillion, president of MBG Information Services,
concisely summarizes: "Outsourcing is export substitution."

It is amazing that US policymakers and economists do not understand that dollar
devaluation is meaningless as long as China keeps its currency pegged to the
dollar.

America's greatest trade imbalance is with China. In 2000 the US merchandise
trade deficit with China became larger than the chronic US trade deficit with
Japan. By 2003 the US trade deficit with China was almost twice as large as the
US deficit with Japan: $124 billion versus $66 billion. This year the US trade
deficit with China is expected to be $160, a 29% increase from last year.

This imbalance cannot be corrected as long as China maintains the peg. As the
dollar falls against the Euro and other currencies, the Chinese currency falls
with it, thus maintaining China's advantage over US goods in world markets.

Both the Clinton and Bush administrations are guilty of permitting China to
maintain a grossly undervalued currency that sucks productive capacity out of
the US. The combination of cheap Chinese labor and an undervalued currency are
destroying US middle class living standards.

As America's industrial base erodes, so does its competitiveness and ability to
close its trade deficit through exports.

Currency markets cannot correct the undervalued Chinese currency, because China
does not permit its currency to be traded and there are insufficient stocks of
Chinese currency in foreign hands with which to form a currency market.

Sooner or later the peg will come to an end--perhaps when China fulfills its
WTO obligation to let its currency float. When the peg ends, it will deliver a
severe shock to US living standards. Suddenly, Chinese manufactured goods--
including advanced technology products--on which the US is now dependent will
cost much more. Overnight, shopping at Wal-Mart will be like shopping in high-
end department stores.

China accounts for a quarter of the US trade deficit and for one-third of the
US deficit in manufactured goods, is the second largest source of US imports
after Canada, and is America's third largest trading partner as conventionally
measured. Despite these facts, the US government does not publish full current
account data for China, instead lumping China in with "Other Countries in Asia
and Africa." This keeps the magnitude of the problem out of sight.

Canada and Mexico rank as the US's two largest "trading partners" because of
double counting in the measure of imports and exports. For example, the full
value of auto bodies shipped across the borders to Canada and Mexico for
assembly operations are counted as "exports" when they leave the US and
as "imports" when they return.

In contrast US "trade" with China involves almost no double counting of
component parts.

Recently, Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company declared its intention to close all
US plants and to manufacture offshore for US markets. Each time the US loses an
industry, America's export potential declines and America's imports rise. This
scenario guarantees a rising trade deficit and the end of the dollar's reserve
currency role.

Dr. Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic
Policy during 1981-82.

Wiecej papieru i zielonej farby !!!

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Senate Increases Debt
Ceiling By $800B
Washington Times
11-19-4

WASHINGTON, DC (UPI)

lepiej juz sobie kup od twojego kolegi z telii

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

chelm, albo sie wysilasz teraz bo luty juz blisko a potem bedziesz musial sobie
inna ofiare znalesc, jak tam twoj Kerry , czy wygra w dogrywce.

Zaden moj kolega

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Wole ze Bush wygral, wiec co mi ciagle wpychasz na sile tego Kerrego?

On nawet niekolegom helmy sprzredaje.

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

A po lutym bedziez dollar wolal.....?

gdybys lepiej Busha sledzil to bys jego watek

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

zrozumial, tu nie jest problem Dollara, ani tez Euro, lecz Yuan, ktory tak nisko
notowany bedac pozwala te same produkty w Chinach ( juz nie komunistycznych) za
14 % ceny Amerykanskiej produkowac i 12 % Europejskiej, Bish dobrymi manierami
chce Chiny zmusic do uwolniennia Yuana i do automatycznego podniesienia tej
waluty wartosci o conajmiej 30 %, co kosztom produkcji Chin nie zaszkodzi(
obniza sie ceny materii pierwszych ), ale pozwoli USA swoj deficit z Chinami o
conajmiej 20 % obnizyc. Euro i inne waluty dziekujac tych krajow ministrom nie
maja zadnej globalnej wartosci.
Tak dla twojej informacji -rezerwy nnarodowego banku Chinskiego osiagnely w
koncu oktobra 670 miliriardoew dollarow dodajac do tego dollary trzymane pod
materassem daje to okolo 1000 mld dollarow, czy Chinczycy maja interes ich
najwiekszego dluznika na lopadki polozyc, przeciez nie mysla w Arabski sposob.
A po Chinach przyjdzie kolej na Indie ,gdzie cos podobnego zachodzi.
Teraz musze moje taczki naoliwic i lopate wyczyscic, abym w poniedzialek
brzydkiej figury w pracy nie zrobil.
Jedynym ratunkiem Europy jest przyjecie do UNII Rosji, ale to jeszcze nie
wszyscy nasi wybrancy w Strausburgu zrozumieli...

Chiny

[Gość: zbalansowany]

To USA ma "problem", nie Chiny. I to w USA kryzys powstanie, nie w Chinach.

Powstanie, z twoich wkladow wynika ze juz jest

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

a w lutym krach, czyzby juz miarke zmieniles.

[belzebub00]

a francja zaczyna sprzedawac swoje zasoby zlota-sam slyszalem w tv francuskiej

Trzeba bedzie watek podtrzymac, az do lutego.

[jarek-jude]

staram sie, staram...

[Gość: zbalansowany]

Washington, in other words, is relying on a soft landing for the dollar.
History shows, however, that there is a better than even chance of this process
ending in a full-scale crisis, as it did in the mid 1980s, when the weakness of
the dollar culminated in the stock market crash of 1987. And that, of course,
was at a time when the G7 was acting in concert. As Lewis said, the crisis
could be triggered by a seemingly minor event, as when the Nigerians
precipitated the run on the pound in 1976 by switching into dollars.


calosc:

www.guardian.co.uk/usa/story/0,12271,1356743,00.html

Ten watek jest lepszy.....

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

jeszcze 3 miesiace, mam czas podkuc buty

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

jeszcze tylko dwa miesiace i jeden tydzien

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

Mialbym pytanie, czy ten krysys na poczatku , w srodku albo w koncu lutego do
nas zawita, chcialbym juz zaczac tygodnie liczyc.

[Gość: zbalansowany]

What The Dollar's Collapse
Will Mean To The World
By Bruce Porteous
[e-mail]
11-26-4

Over the last few days, there has been a number of articles in the media about
the steady decline of the $US against the Euro. While many economists have
forecasted the possiblity of the dollar declining against the Euro for
sometime, most do not comprehend the significance of this. Some believe that
the decline of the dollar against the currencies of American's trading partners
will help correct the USA's trade deficit, and the dollar will stop falling
when the trade imbalance is corrected. However, the evidence is that the
opposite is happening - the $US has declined 40% against the Euro over the last
2 years, and during this time America's trade deficit has continues to
deteriorate.

There is now nothing the USA can do to prevent the collapse of its currency,
and its economy. It has no reserves to support its value, and has the most
indebted country in the world, is dependant of the credit from America's former
enemies. Over the last couple of days, both Russia and China have said they
will be switching their considerable dollar reserves into Euro. This will only
hasten the lack of confidence in the dollar, creating a global lack of
confidence in the currency, and setting into free-fall. It will soon bring
about the total collapse of the dollar, and the American economy.

The collapse of the dollar will throw the world into a global depression. Those
nations with large external debts will not be able to trade sufficiently to
earn the income to service their debts, and will slide into bankruptcy. The
economies of New Zealand, Australia, Canada and the UK will also totally
collapse, as a result of their indebtedness and not being able to service their
borrowings. It will result in the Anglo-Saxon nations facing abject poverty,
our people facing starvation, and a total break-down in society. Crime will
become rampant. Law and order will cease to exist. Disease will become
widespread.

The Asian economies, which have depended upon American trade, will also be
severely affected. However, they will recover after a period, but only after
considerable political and economic turmoil.

The EU will be in a much better position to survive the coming economic chaos.
An influx of capital into the Euro zone by those selling dollars will provide
the funding for rebuilding the economies of the new United States of Europe.
However, the collapse of the $US will still severely affect the already
depressed German and French economies. The resulting economic turmoil will
create the need for the acceptance of a strong EU leader, who will be able to
make the necessary political and economic reforms to enable Europe revive their
economies. Those nations that accept the new EU Constitution will come under
the control of this new leader, creating Europe as the world's new Super Power.

The Euro will become the world's only reserve currency, creating the means for
the new United States of Europe to become the dominant economic power in the
world. The new Europe will be able to dictate the terms on how the global
economy should be run. They will take over the administration of America and
Britain, placing the Anglo-Saxon people in bondage for repayment of their
debts.

Americans do not appear to comprehend the bitterness that has grown around the
world as a result of their illegal invasion of Iraq. While once Europeans
looked up to, and admired America; today it is held in utter contempt for its
arrogance and warmongering. Anti-European comments in the American media have
only added to this hostility towards the US. America's attempt to impose its
version of government on the world, its hypocrisy in claiming to be the moral
leader of the world, while flooding the media with degenerate filth and
garbage, has bought upon it disgust and contempt that few Americans can
comprehend.

US$ coraz nizej, za to deficyt rosnie

[Gość: zbalansowany]

India, China And Others
Dumping US Dollar
To Buy Euro
By Bala Vaddi Special
Correspondent
IndiaDaily.com
11-26-4

The India, China and other countries have started dumping the US Dollar quietly
and buying the Euro. That has put a very serious pressure on the US Dollar.
Chinese and Indian central bank officials denied such reports. But Foreign
exchange traders say they are quite convinced of Indian and Chinese moves.
According to some traders, there are many other countries, especially oil rich
Middle Eastern countries, running away from dollar.

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Y.V. Reddy said the composition of the
country's foreign exchange reserves could change when asked on Wednesday if the
bank was considering boosting its holdings of the strengthening euro. The
central bank does not give a breakdown of its reserves

Ile jeszcze dni brakuje, czy zdarze wszytki kawiar

[Gość: jarek-Zyd ne telus]

ktore na taczkach mam z champainem z konsumowac....

No moze jeszcze nie jutro, ale.....

[zbalansowany]

US Budget Deficits Risk
Crash - Australian Treasury
By David Uren and Roy Eccleston
The Australian
2-25-5

Peter Costello's closest adviser fears the US is heading for a devastating
financial crash that could ravage Australia's economic growth.

As the Reserve Bank considers raising interest rates at its board meeting next
Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Ken Henry likened the flood of money pouring into
the US to support its budget and current account deficits to the stockmarket's
dotcom bubble of the late 1990s.

Were it suddenly to stop, there would be shockwaves felt throughout the world's
economies.

The financial crash feared by Dr Henry would involve a sharp fall in the US
dollar and a bond market sell-off, which would push up US and world interest
rates.

This would hit US economic growth and, as a result, cut Chinese exports of
manufactured products to the American market. In turn, this would threaten the
boom in Australian mineral exports to China.

Fears that the world economy is in grave danger are growing in the major
financial capitals.

The International Monetary Fund, which is responsible for stability of the
world economy, also warned yesterday of a sudden collapse.

IMF managing director Rodrigo de Rato said urgent combined international action
was required to head off the dangers.

The main cause of concern is the fact the US is running a trade deficit of
about $US600billion ($760billion) and a budget deficit of about $US430billion
for 2005.

US imports are almost 50per cent greater than the country's exports, with the
deficit being financed by international central banks and funds managers.

Despite signs that the deficit is getting bigger, money is pouring into the US
from Asia and Europe at such a rate that the US has been able to keep its long-
term interest rates steady at 4.2 per cent since the middle of last year.

Dr Henry said the flood of money was "worryingly reminiscent of Federal Reserve
chairman Alan Greenspan's warning in 1996 of irrational exuberance in US
stocks".

He said that, as with the dotcom bubble in the 1990s, one could not tell how
long it would keep going, but it would burst eventually.

Dr Henry's comments, made to a meeting of Asian treasurers in Sydney yesterday,
reveal that Treasury is much more worried about the health of the world economy
than is the Reserve Bank.

Reserve Bank governor Ian Macfarlane said last week that he did not think the
US current account deficit was a serious threat.

"I suspect the rest of the world will continue to finance the US current
account deficit," he said. But if it did not, all that would happen would be a
fall in the US dollar, which would not have serious consequences.

The Reserve Bank expects world economic growth to slow only slightly from last
year, when it recorded the fastest growth in almost 30 years.

The different views about the economic risks may be aired at the Reserve Bank
meeting on Tuesday. Dr Henry sits on the Reserve Bank board.

The bank does think there are risks of financial collapse in the US, but
believes it would be caused by the complexity of new financial products.

The IMF also thinks economic growth will remain firm over the year ahead, but
Mr de Rato says there are "serious threats and challenges ahead".

Mr de Rato warned that it was highly unlikely that the US would continue to
have access to "easy credit", based on its present economic policies.

Mr de Rato said the fall in the value of the dollar should act as a "timely
wake-up" to policy makers around the world to tackle the imbalances in the
world economy.

Mr de Rato said these included not only the US's deficits, but also resistance
to economic reforms in Europe and Japan, as well as China's fixed exchange
rate.

Dr Henry said the problems went beyond the American deficits, which he said
were mirrored by excessive surpluses in Asia.

He said Asian countries were not allowing their domestic economies to grow fast
enough, and were relying too much on exports. This put them at risk in any
world economic downturn.

The boom in investment in American financial markets could be brought to a halt
by a number of developments, Dr Henry said.

A slowdown in American growth could lead international private investors to
pull out of the country.

Foreign central banks, which have been buying long-term American government
bonds, are already facing big losses as a result of the fall in the value of
the greenback.

"What if they change their mind?" Dr Henry asked.

He said it was imperative that the Americans take action to reduce their budget
deficit, while they should allow the value of the US dollar to fall further.

[zbalansowany]

Warning From the Markets




When a seemingly innocuous remark from the central bank of South Korea makes
the dollar tank, as happened on Tuesday, all is not well with the United
States' position in the world economy.

The dollar has been on a downward trajectory for three years, thanks in part
to the Bush administration's decision to try to use a cheap dollar to shrink
the nation's enormous trade deficit. (A weak dollar makes exports cheaper
and imports costlier, a combination that theoretically should narrow the
trade gap.) To be truly effective, however, a weak dollar must be combined
with a lower federal budget deficit - or even a budget surplus, something
the administration clearly hasn't delivered. So predictably, the weak-dollar
ploy hasn't worked. The United States' trade deficit has mushroomed to
record levels, as has the United States' need to borrow from abroad - some
$2 billion a day - just to balance its books.

Enter South Korea. On Monday, its central bank reported that it intended to
diversify into other currencies and away from dollar-based assets. And why
not? It holds about $69 billion in United States Treasury securities, or 4
percent of the total foreign Treasury holdings. Such dollar-based
investments lose value as the dollar weakens, leading to losses that any
cautious banker would want to avoid. But as the Korean comment ping-ponged
around the world, all hell broke loose, with currency traders selling
dollars for fear that the central banks of Japan and China, which hold
immense dollar reserves - a combined $900 billion, or 46 percent of foreign
Treasury holdings - might follow suit.

That would be the United States' worst economic nightmare. If it appeared
that the flow of investment from abroad was not enough to cover the nation's
gargantuan deficits, interest rates would rise sharply, the dollar would
plunge further, and the economy would stall. A fiscal crisis would result.

Tuesday's sell-off of dollars did not precipitate a meltdown. But it sure
gave a taste of one. The dollar suffered its worst single-day decline in two
months against the yen and the euro. Stock markets in New York, London,
Paris and Frankfurt dropped, and gold and oil prices, which tend to go up
when the dollar goes down, spiked.

Luckily, the markets calmed down yesterday, as Asian central banks said they
they did not intend to shun dollars. While such damage control is welcome,
it's no fix. Tuesday's market episode has its roots in American structural
imbalances that will be corrected only by new policies, not more of the same
tax-cut-and-weak-dollar deficit-bloating ploys.

If Mr. Bush were half the capitalist he claims he is, he would listen to
what the markets are telling him.

A zegar tyka....

[zbalansowany]

www.counterpunch.org/roberts03012005.html

USA 30 lat za Polska!

[lolo11]

Oni dopiero Gierka przerabiaja czyli zycie na kredyt!

[zbalansowany]

www.usatoday.com/money/economy/survey/2005-03-21-deficit-threat-nabe_x.htm?POE=NEWISVA

To moze byc poczatek

[zbalansowany]

www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/hommel031805.html